Yes position
Databricks IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $35
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $131.67
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$15
Polymarket Trader
MainMan1
0xf0974150094b97e72c9e85ed93a1541fa64259a4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $35
- Realized PnL
- $127.5
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$16
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.71
- Potential profit
- $66.71
- User PnL
- -$60.71
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62
- Potential profit
- $62
- User PnL
- -$16.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.89
- Potential profit
- $14.89
- User PnL
- -$9.83
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 29°C on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.06
- Potential profit
- $5.06
- User PnL
- -$4.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $45.15
Yes position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C or below on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.89
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 30°C on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 0.1% 149.95 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on April 24?No 99.9% 4.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on April 24?No 98.9% 10.1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on April 24?No 96.1% 5.16 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on April 24?No 99% 5.04 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 29°C on April 24?No 90.8% 5.14 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 30°C on April 24?No 93.7% 5.24 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on April 24?No 98.7% 5.05 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on April 24?No 98.8% 5.05 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on April 24?No 98.7% 5.05 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on April 24?No 97.9% 5.09 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 24?No 99% 5.04 shares