No position
New pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $301.69
- Potential payout
- $337.08
- Potential profit
- $35.39
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.69
Polymarket Trader
0xf0BB10cF37777c6dc2a040796Ad99375a8f7B0C3-1767984599876
0xf0bb10cf37777c6dc2a040796ad99375a8f7b0c3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $340.49
- Realized PnL
- $49.27
- Win rate
- 73.3%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $38.8
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $41.2
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $24.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.86
No position
Will Michael Soetaert be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $23.4
No position
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $11.43
No position
Will Marty Supreme win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.83
No position
Will Scott Derrickson - The Gorge win Best Director of a Movie for Television at the 78th DGA Awards?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.93
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Will Czechia win on 2026-03-31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- -$1.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$4.4
Yes position
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$12.63
No position
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- -$16.81
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?No 98.7% 214 shares
- New pandemic in 2026?No 89% 337.08 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETDown 5% 12.02 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETDown 41.6% 12.03 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETUp 64% 0.66 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETUp 59% 7.81 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETUp 59% 8.47 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETDown 32% 2.39 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETDown 32% 16.12 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETDown 27% 18.52 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETUp 49% 1.61 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETUp 50% 9.25 shares