Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $1.01K
- Potential payout
- $5.79K
- Potential profit
- $4.78K
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$2.41K
Polymarket Trader
dontkn0w
0xf0bf7489e94705d8ecf3e823dda63dea027684c7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.54K
- Realized PnL
- $32.94K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.2K
- Potential profit
- $4.2K
- User PnL
- -$193.79
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $2.83K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $165
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $285
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$1.68K
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.4K
- Potential profit
- $2.4K
- User PnL
- -$288
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $2.39K
- Potential payout
- $2.4K
- Potential profit
- $9.6
- User PnL
- $326.4
Yes position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.85K
- Potential profit
- $1.85K
- User PnL
- -$401.4
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- User PnL
- -$688.76
Yes position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$391.99
Yes position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$360
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- User PnL
- -$319.14
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$102
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $315
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $285
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$51
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $599.1
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $0.9
- User PnL
- $497.1
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $257.15
- Potential payout
- $541.37
- Potential profit
- $284.22
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$59.1
No position
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $472.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $27.5
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.9%
- Current value
- $195.4
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $204.6
- Multiplier
- 2.05x
- User PnL
- -$52.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $399.98
- Potential profit
- $399.98
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $370.7
- Potential payout
- $373.12
- Potential profit
- $2.43
- User PnL
- $45.16
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $298.65
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$46.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $299.99
- User PnL
- -$137.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $224.94
- Potential profit
- $224.94
- User PnL
- -$107.97
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $11
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $189
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$107
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $83.38
- Potential payout
- $196.18
- Potential profit
- $112.8
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$20.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.35K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.22K
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.08K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.49K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.04K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09K
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $1.79K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $428.5
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $4200 in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $275.09
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $259.97
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $229.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $197.16
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.83
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170.18
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168
No position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $157.26
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 85% 1,269.96 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 59% 2,422.17 shares
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes 59% 248.75 shares
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes 58% 270 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 63.1% 695.86 shares
- Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?No 95% 500 shares
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes 57% 22.62 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 56% 399.3 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?No 18% 100 shares
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 36% 1,199.97 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?No 26% 100 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?No 25% 18.91 shares