Polymarket Trader

SpodermanS

0xf0cfaee284dcc42be36f8c50963a9510f7b15acc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $17.67
Realized PnL: $48.65
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $5.88
Potential payout: $152.83
Potential profit: $146.95
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: -$4.81

Yes position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $5.07
Potential payout: $30.73
Potential profit: $25.66
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$4.67

No position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $2.06
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $10.44
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $8.2
Potential profit: $7.5
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$0.53

Yes position

Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $2.1
Potential payout: $6.9
Potential profit: $4.79
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 59%
Current value: $1.13
Potential payout: $1.92
Potential profit: $0.79
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Twice release a song in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64.8%
Current value: $0.72
Potential payout: $1.11
Potential profit: $0.39
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: -$0.28

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.88

Yes position

Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.43

No position

Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.75

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.71

FaZe position

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3)

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

FaZe position

Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Yes position

Will Vitality win IEM Rio 2026?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13

Under position

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

TheMongolz position

Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz (BO3)

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

FaZe position

Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Over position

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Over position

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Over position

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

Over position

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

Over position

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Over position

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

Over position

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

Spirit position

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3)

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?

Yes 29% 6.9 shares
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?

No 52% 1.92 shares
Games Total: O/U 3.5

Over 5% 2.66 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Team Falcons 60% 3.33 shares
Games Total: O/U 3.5

Over 75% 2.67 shares
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Yes 59% 14.28 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Team Falcons 42% 2.38 shares
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

FURIA 99.9% 1.69 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Team Falcons 43% 2.33 shares
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

FURIA 59% 1.69 shares
Games Total: O/U 2.5

Over 99.9% 2.17 shares
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Yes 6% 2.22 shares