Yes position
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $13.76
- Potential payout
- $27.52K
- Potential profit
- $27.5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.07K
Polymarket Trader
LinaBell
@xK0neko
0xf0ed9e68e6cd3ee712260abeaec32de56a7d47d8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $50.28K
- Realized PnL
- $109.26K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $75
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $14.92K
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.82K
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.9%
- Current value
- $12K
- Potential payout
- $13.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.99K
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25%
- Current value
- $3.14K
- Potential payout
- $12.54K
- Potential profit
- $9.41K
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- $76.13
No position
Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $9.74K
- Potential payout
- $10.7K
- Potential profit
- $962.9
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $846.78
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $7.59K
- Potential payout
- $7.61K
- Potential profit
- $22.84
- User PnL
- -$2.14
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $479.65
- Potential payout
- $7.38K
- Potential profit
- $6.9K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$159.07
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $203.43
- Potential payout
- $5.57K
- Potential profit
- $5.37K
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- -$461.73
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $2.05K
- Potential payout
- $4.89K
- Potential profit
- $2.84K
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $557.07
Yes position
Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.6K
- Potential profit
- $4.6K
- User PnL
- -$827.07
No position
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
Ends Jan 3, 2027- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $3.19K
- Potential payout
- $4.32K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $437.92
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $3.14K
- Potential payout
- $3.83K
- Potential profit
- $689.87
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $568.8
Yes position
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $32.57
- Potential payout
- $3.1K
- Potential profit
- $3.07K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$351.01
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $2.35K
- Potential payout
- $3.07K
- Potential profit
- $721.17
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $126.42
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $116.6
- Potential payout
- $2.51K
- Potential profit
- $2.39K
- Multiplier
- 21.51x
- User PnL
- -$324.05
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $430
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.57K
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $1.91K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $90
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $70
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $1.37K
- Potential payout
- $1.98K
- Potential profit
- $603.7
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $125.07
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Current value
- $85.05
- Potential payout
- $1.79K
- Potential profit
- $1.71K
- Multiplier
- 21.05x
- User PnL
- -$153.35
Yes position
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $569.14
- Potential payout
- $1.52K
- Potential profit
- $948.57
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$88.06
No position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $652.5
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $847.5
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$22.5
No position
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $902.3
- Potential payout
- $1.32K
- Potential profit
- $414.93
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $175.18
Yes position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $225.14
- Potential payout
- $1.29K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $8.52
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $1.21K
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$40.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.99K
Yes position
Will the next Pope be from North America?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.27K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.86K
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.33K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.99K
No position
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.75K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.63K
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.35K
No position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.18K
No position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.02K
No position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.9K
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.73K
Yes position
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.41K
No position
Will RFK end COVID-19 vaccine recommendation in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.28K
Yes position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $3.11K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.1K
No position
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.06K
No position
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.95K
No position
Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.94K
Yes position
Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.93K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81K
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- $2.63K
Yes position
Obama arrested in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.62K
Yes position
Will the Conservative Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?
Ends Oct 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?No 30% 3,980.71 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 65.2% 1,423.69 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No 72% 2,177.42 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?No 33.3% 701.08 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?No 33.9% 210.67 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?No 25.2% 400 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?Yes 90% 397.5 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?No 25.1% 944 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?Yes 90.3% 943.99 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 99.8% 6,007.96 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Yes 82% 6.16 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 15% 286.05 shares