Yes position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $2.87
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $137.13
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$7.06
Polymarket Trader
0xf0f5...72bc
0xf0f5df3a0db3ac9cb838107317c30ae6701e72bc
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $81.78
- Realized PnL
- $49.41
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $27.03
- Potential payout
- $47
- Potential profit
- $19.98
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $12.99
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $16.24
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $0.77
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.45
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $0.54
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $16.46
- Multiplier
- 31.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Yes position
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $40B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $7.02
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $4.98
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $3.29
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $5.72
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $7.24
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $0.76
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.8
No position
Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $6.34
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0.67
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
N
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $0.6
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $6.41
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$3.05
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $4.59
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $1.41
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.7%
- Current value
- $3.23
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $0.77
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will Qatar sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $2.82
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.02
Yes position
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $5.43
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.67
No position
SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.95
Yes position
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.87
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.73
Yes position
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.58
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55
No position
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 (High)?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 Week of June 8 2026?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47
No position
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $1.4
Yes position
Will Brian Bjelde be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.25
Yes position
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- $1.2
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?No 37% 9 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No 73% 6 shares
- Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?Yes 46.3% 8 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No 15% 13 shares
- Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $40B by June 30?Yes 60% 12 shares
- Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?No 93.3% 11 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?No 50% 22 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No 92% 9 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 68% 8 shares
- Will Qatar sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?No 92% 3 shares
- Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?Yes 22.9% 8 shares
- Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No 88% 4 shares