Polymarket Trader

Cryonic

0xf0f635cd8b46f07a938df91ec9bc6e3a04343836

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $914.44
Realized PnL: $816.34
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $225.94
Potential payout: $227.42
Potential profit: $1.48
User PnL: $17.94

No position

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $143.43
Potential payout: $149.96
Potential profit: $6.52
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $33.43

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 62.3%
Current value: $77.81
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $47.19
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: $17.81

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 29?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $122.09
Potential profit: $122.09
User PnL: -$90.35

No position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.28
Potential profit: $116.28
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $98.86
Potential payout: $108.7
Potential profit: $9.84
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$1.14

No position

Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $104.89
Potential payout: $105.26
Potential profit: $0.37
User PnL: $4.89

Murray State Racers position

Belmont Bruins vs. Murray State Racers

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.47
Potential profit: $76.47
User PnL: -$68

No position

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $50.63
Potential payout: $73.91
Potential profit: $23.28
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $0.63

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.9%
Current value: $13.18
Potential payout: $69.9
Potential profit: $56.72
Multiplier: 5.31x
User PnL: -$36.82

No position

Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $67.95
Potential payout: $68.49
Potential profit: $0.55
User PnL: $17.95

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $12.61
Potential payout: $68.32
Potential profit: $55.72
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $1.61

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $8.08
Potential payout: $59.17
Potential profit: $51.09
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$1.92

Columbia Lions position

Columbia Lions vs. Penn Quakers

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.09
Potential profit: $57.09
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $49.73
Potential payout: $54.95
Potential profit: $5.22
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$0.27

No position

Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $29.68
Potential payout: $32.26
Potential profit: $2.58
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$0.32

No position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.91
Potential profit: $31.91
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.76
Potential profit: $29.76
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $22.1
Potential payout: $24.69
Potential profit: $2.59
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $2.1

Bucks position

Hawks vs. Bucks

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $22.73
User PnL: -$15

Dolphins position

Patriots vs. Dolphins

Ends Sep 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $17.86
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $9.57
Potential payout: $16.95
Potential profit: $7.38
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$0.43

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.48
Potential profit: $16.48
User PnL: -$15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.94

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.19

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.15

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.75

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.96

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.62

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.52

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.16

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114,000 and $116,000 on October 28?

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.52

Yes position

Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.14

Quinnipiac Bobcats position

Quinnipiac Bobcats vs. Siena Saints

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.49

No position

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.37

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 5?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.78

No position

Will TikTok be banned in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.79

No position

Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.15

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $125K in September?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.57

Manhattan Jaspers position

Manhattan Jaspers vs. Niagara Purple Eagles

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.67

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 20?

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.06

49ers position

Falcons vs. 49ers

Ends Oct 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.32

Yes position

Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.3

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 7?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.81

Miami (OH) RedHawks position

Ohio Bobcats vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.5

No position

Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 81% 24.69 shares
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 59% 16.95 shares
Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 93% 32.26 shares
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

No 67.6% 73.91 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 91% 16.48 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.1% 68.32 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.9% 59.17 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 91% 54.95 shares
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals

Seattle Mariners 89% 56.18 shares
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

No 94% 53.18 shares
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Raptors vs. Cavaliers

Cavs 90.1% 33.2 shares
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?

No 92.9% 40.92 shares