No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.1%
- Current value
- $455.33
- Potential payout
- $2.27K
- Potential profit
- $1.82K
- Multiplier
- 4.99x
- User PnL
- -$288.87
Polymarket Trader
0xf0F8711F85B0ba0e1B1A2dEa56B560B69a6aFCF6-1772006482226
0xf0f8711f85b0ba0e1b1a2dea56b560b69a6afcf6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.82K
- Realized PnL
- $1.67K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $822.57
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $206.28
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $181.52
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $192.97
- Potential payout
- $879.16
- Potential profit
- $686.18
- Multiplier
- 4.56x
- User PnL
- -$93.91
No position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $540.25
- Potential payout
- $540.52
- Potential profit
- $0.27
- User PnL
- $120.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $450
- Potential profit
- $450
- User PnL
- -$8.1
No position
Will Fiona Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $44.2
- Potential payout
- $442
- Potential profit
- $397.8
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$97.32
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.1%
- Current value
- $339.52
- Potential payout
- $435
- Potential profit
- $95.48
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $63.11
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $235
- Potential profit
- $235
- User PnL
- -$169.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $230
- Potential profit
- $230
- User PnL
- -$8.97
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $222
- Potential profit
- $222
- User PnL
- -$19.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $196
- Potential profit
- $196
- User PnL
- -$2.74
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $185
- Potential profit
- $185
- User PnL
- -$128.98
Yes position
Will Fiona Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $163.8
- Potential payout
- $182
- Potential profit
- $18.2
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $45.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $172.27
- Potential profit
- $172.27
- User PnL
- -$127.76
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $169
- Potential profit
- $169
- User PnL
- -$115.2
No position
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $140.51
- Potential payout
- $142
- Potential profit
- $1.49
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $4.05
No position
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $122.14
- Potential payout
- $123
- Potential profit
- $0.86
- User PnL
- $3.36
No position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $118.45
- Potential profit
- $118.45
- User PnL
- -$105.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $104
- Potential profit
- $104
- User PnL
- -$73.84
No position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $104
- Potential profit
- $104
- User PnL
- -$98.09
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $91
- Potential profit
- $91
- User PnL
- -$65.23
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83
- Potential profit
- $83
- User PnL
- -$19.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $81
- Potential profit
- $81
- User PnL
- -$12.96
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$63.73
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $770.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $205.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.86
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.04
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.45
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.59
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.52
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.27
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.26
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.69
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C or below on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.29
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.44
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.88
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.72
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C or below on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 33°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.68
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.42
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.42
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on May 25?No 78% 8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on May 25?No 80% 25 shares
- Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No 96.4% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 25?No 79% 25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on May 25?No 69% 5 shares
- Will Aric Nesbitt win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?No 98.7% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 24?No 79% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 24?No 77% 25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 24?No 68% 29 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 23?No 70% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on May 23?No 75% 6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on May 23?No 76% 5 shares