No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
0xf1045f8f64E5073F3d6313C43d045918C746e5A0-1779801925200
0xf1045f8f64e5073f3d6313c43d045918c746e5a0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $100.91
- Realized PnL
- $303.65
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.33K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $153.85
- Potential profit
- $153.85
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $151.45
- Potential profit
- $151.45
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$58
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.42
- Potential payout
- $92.59
- Potential profit
- $92.18
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$49.58
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $4.69
- Potential payout
- $87.72
- Potential profit
- $83.03
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $3.54
- Potential payout
- $59.52
- Potential profit
- $55.98
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- -$1.46
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $3.58
- Potential payout
- $51.55
- Potential profit
- $47.96
- Multiplier
- 14.39x
- User PnL
- -$1.42
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.21
- Potential profit
- $44.21
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $28.17
- Potential payout
- $40.54
- Potential profit
- $12.37
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.83
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $16.62
- Potential payout
- $39.1
- Potential profit
- $22.48
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$5.38
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 14, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.94
- Potential profit
- $37.94
- User PnL
- -$5
Under position
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $15.77
- Potential payout
- $29.49
- Potential profit
- $13.71
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$4.23
Under position
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $29.41
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $8.33
- Potential payout
- $25.63
- Potential profit
- $17.3
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$1.67
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $23.81
- User PnL
- -$10
Over position
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.3%
- Current value
- $9.7
- Potential payout
- $19.27
- Potential profit
- $9.57
- Multiplier
- 1.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Leylah Fernandez position
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $5.08
- Potential payout
- $8.2
- Potential profit
- $3.11
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will CDPJuniorFC win on 2026-06-08?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $7.69
- User PnL
- -$1
Connecticut Sun position
New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $7.69
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $7.14
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Kansas City Royals position
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.34
Over position
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.24
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.8
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.23
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.14
Los Angeles Angels position
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.48
Under position
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.5
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $13.4
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10
New York Mets position
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.7
Karolina Pliskova position
HSBC Championships: Karolina Pliskova vs McCartney Kessler
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.03
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.98
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.76
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.68
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.56
Over position
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.11
New York Yankees position
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.87
Karmine Corp position
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.48
LGD Gaming position
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.91
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 10, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.72
Arizona Diamondbacks position
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.61
9z position
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.27
Boston Red Sox position
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 46%
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- $3.03
Andrea Guerrieri position
Cattolica: Andrea Guerrieri vs Dalibor Svrcina
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.6% 277.77 shares
- Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.4% 357.14 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.4% 30.86 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 12.8% 56.17 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 63% 98.04 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by June 30, 2026?Yes 11% 32.19 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 64% 98.05 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?No 95.1% 66.66 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?Yes 49% 113.37 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 12, 2026?Yes 95.7% 56.41 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 11, 2026?Yes 99.9% 53.78 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 11, 2026?Yes 94.6% 11.63 shares