No position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $28.89
- Potential payout
- $128.38
- Potential profit
- $99.5
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $13.3
Polymarket Trader
karmarenee
0xf11236b80da2e47c44f0ed5e9ae8287ba9c42d0c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $28.89
- Realized PnL
- $45.06
- Win rate
- 64.3%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Lakers position
Thunder vs. Lakers
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $96.8
- Potential profit
- $96.8
- User PnL
- -$9.68
Over position
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.2
- Potential profit
- $42.2
- User PnL
- -$21.52
Lakers position
Thunder vs. Lakers
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.28
- Potential profit
- $32.28
- User PnL
- -$5.81
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Vitality position
Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.23
No position
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.49
Under position
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.31
Lakers position
Rockets vs. Lakers
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.93
Spirit position
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.13
Under position
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 206.5
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.43
Spirit position
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66
Spirit position
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
FURIA position
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
FURIA position
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Hornets position
Spread: Magic (-17.5)
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Stephen Curry: Points O/U 27.5
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.37
Thunder position
Spread: Thunder (-19.5)
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Thunder vs. LakersLakers 18% 32.28 shares
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageSpirit 60% 5.85 shares
- Thunder vs. LakersLakers 4% 125 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 15?No 10% 96.8 shares
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over 51% 42.2 shares
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under 67% 37.31 shares
- Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?No 12.1% 128.38 shares
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5No 51% 25.49 shares
- Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)Vitality 99.9% 31.26 shares
- Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 206.5Under 53% 9.43 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 99.8% 3.34 shares
- Rockets vs. LakersLakers 99.9% 14.84 shares