Polymarket Trader

hotornot

0xf114b578bc08e5641d4cbfbb52e6e97b038d6ecc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $109.92
Realized PnL: $3.6K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $347.18
Potential profit: $346.49
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$6.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $137.81
Potential profit: $137.81
User PnL: -$81.12

Yes position

Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.25
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$49.25

No position

Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $99.25
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0.75
User PnL: $49.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $81.83
Potential profit: $81.79
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $28.6
Potential profit: $28.59
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$18.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $23.57
Potential profit: $23.56
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20.93
Potential profit: $20.92
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.18
Potential profit: $11.18
User PnL: -$1.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $10.93
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $8.76
Potential profit: $8.75
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$0.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6.8
Potential payout: $6.8
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.94
Potential profit: $5.94
User PnL: -$0.77

No position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $2.26
Potential payout: $2.7
Potential profit: $0.45
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$0.09

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $297.46

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on April 13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $257.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $226.23

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $194.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C or higher on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 48°F or higher on February 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on February 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.42

Yes position

Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $101.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.18

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 19?

No 87% 8 shares
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 19?

Yes 54% 8.11 shares
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 19?

No 86.9% 10.7 shares
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 19?

Yes 46.6% 20.94 shares
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 19?

Yes 5% 8 shares
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 19?

Yes 5% 9.2 shares
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 19?

Yes 10% 9.3 shares
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 19?

Yes 8% 12.5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 19?

Yes 8% 12.5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 19?

Yes 8% 12.5 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 19?

No 2.1% 47.62 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 19?

No 3% 33.33 shares