No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 92.1%
- Current value
- $58.91
- Potential payout
- $64
- Potential profit
- $5.09
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Polymarket Trader
nivtg79v
0xf115e39b5c39dc159675c9cb13578540da98a8f9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $198.29
- Realized PnL
- $31.7
- Win rate
- 72.7%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $50.75
- Potential payout
- $58
- Potential profit
- $7.25
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $55.02
- Potential payout
- $56
- Potential profit
- $0.98
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.43
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $33.61
- Potential payout
- $38
- Potential profit
- $4.39
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.92
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.46
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 91%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $5.46
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $1.82
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.97
Pistons position
Cavaliers vs. Pistons
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No 95.7% 56 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 88.3% 38 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 92.3% 64 shares
- Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?No 88% 58 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 54% 80 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No 86% 52 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo 85% 83.99 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 56% 80 shares
- Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No 82% 94 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No 86% 52 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo 85% 83.99 shares
- Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 98.9% 1.01 shares