No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $24.35
- Potential payout
- $26
- Potential profit
- $1.65
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Polymarket Trader
0xF1189a74db9e2C7ce8675f05A1bA34AeA413caE0-1722043895127
0xf1189a74db9e2c7ce8675f05a1ba34aea413cae0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $88
- Realized PnL
- $75.32
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $18.53
- Potential payout
- $18.54
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $11.14
- Potential payout
- $11.15
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $8.2
- Potential payout
- $8.2
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $8
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $6.99
- Potential payout
- $6.99
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.5
- Potential payout
- $5.5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.3
- Potential payout
- $5.3
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.42
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Bulls position
Bulls vs. Knicks
Ends Nov 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.5
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.51
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.68
Yes position
Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?
Ends Dec 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.41
No position
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Trump out as President in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
Yes position
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will Ethereum reach $6000 in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Pistons position
Pacers vs. Pistons
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will the Pacers beat the Thunder 4-0?
Ends Jun 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No 99.6% 6.99 shares
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No 95.5% 5.5 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?No 99.8% 8.69 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?No 98.3% 6 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No 99.7% 8 shares
- Will Solana reach $170 in May?No 99.5% 6 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 90.8% 5.2 shares
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 98.1% 5.8 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 98.5% 8.2 shares
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No 99.6% 6.2 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No 97.5% 6.3 shares
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?No 93.2% 18 shares