No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $26.48K
- Potential payout
- $30.26K
- Potential profit
- $3.78K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $5.26K
Polymarket Trader
air3
0xf143e056e11a8f341908779853eedc5d60affdb3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $43.75K
- Realized PnL
- $23.04K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.22K
- Potential profit
- $19.22K
- User PnL
- -$2K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $9.05K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $950
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $850
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.9%
- Current value
- $4.09K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $905.5
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $704.5
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $4.13K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $875
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $1.43K
No position
Will Hyperliquid reach $40 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$1.05K
Yes position
Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$1.72K
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$1.94K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$1.86K
No position
Will Hyperliquid hit $30 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.74
- Potential profit
- $142.74
- User PnL
- -$131.61
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.95K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55K
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4K
Yes position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
No position
Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $595.61
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $500
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $480
No position
XRP all time high by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $440
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $425
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $420
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $387.98
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $380
No position
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $344.49
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5600 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $285
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $261.19
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $250
No position
Will Solana reach $310 before 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $220
No position
Will Base launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $208.24
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.91
No position
Will Ethereum reach $6000 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Yes 97% 11.15 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes 10.5% 17,222.62 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes 10% 2,000 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes 98.5% 4,324.86 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?No 49.3% 19,636.62 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 90% 13,983.83 shares
- Will Hyperliquid reach $70 in November?No 89% 421.86 shares
- Will Base launch a token in 2025?No 95% 164.74 shares
- Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31?No 74% 18.88 shares
- Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?No 84% 1,054.61 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?No 76% 57.76 shares
- Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes 90% 3,000 shares