Polymarket Trader

0xF14f5221e271505e7B766860DF0BFF41CBe5873E-1777696154690

0xf14f5221e271505e7b766860df0bff41cbe5873e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $21.61
Realized PnL: $172.47
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.95
Potential profit: $37.95
User PnL: -$6.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.72
Potential profit: $36.72
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $6.6
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $6.73
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $2.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?

Ends Jul 18, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $6.47
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $6.87
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $13.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?

Ends Jul 18, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $3.56
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $8.94
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$0.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $4.98
Potential payout: $11.32
Potential profit: $6.34
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.43
Potential profit: $1.43
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.84

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.5

Sean Strickland position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

Yes position

Fight to Go the Distance?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?

Yes 45% 13.33 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?

Yes 32% 12.5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?

Yes 53% 11.32 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?

Yes 30% 13.33 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?

Yes 29% 10.34 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?

Yes 48% 10.42 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?

Yes 16% 12.5 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

Yes 20% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

Yes 17.6% 22.71 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

Yes 32.4% 30.84 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

Yes 15% 15.24 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

Yes 40.8% 36.72 shares