Yes position
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.37K
- Potential profit
- $4.37K
- User PnL
- -$3.34K
Polymarket Trader
lorry3122
0xf1554a6292c37db1cd007102b0f55bd7e7ac76bd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.51K
- Realized PnL
- $87.02K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- User PnL
- -$993.21
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $1.1K
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $102.41
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $102.41
No position
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.2%
- Current value
- $958.65
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $92.5
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $137.65
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.9%
- Current value
- $120.09
- Potential payout
- $934.58
- Potential profit
- $814.49
- Multiplier
- 7.78x
- User PnL
- $20.09
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $778.4
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $21.6
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $162.4
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $94.14
- Potential payout
- $689.66
- Potential profit
- $595.52
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$5.86
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $109.17
- Potential payout
- $591.72
- Potential profit
- $482.54
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $9.17
No position
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $486.55
- Potential payout
- $532.04
- Potential profit
- $45.49
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $23.44
No position
Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate after the May meeting?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $436.05
- Potential profit
- $436.05
- User PnL
- -$313.56
N
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $204.44
- Potential payout
- $274.42
- Potential profit
- $69.98
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $17.84
No position
Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $246.51
- Potential payout
- $248.24
- Potential profit
- $1.74
- User PnL
- $39.01
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $156.77
- Potential payout
- $190.03
- Potential profit
- $33.26
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $29.45
No position
Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $101.2
- Potential payout
- $185.68
- Potential profit
- $84.48
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$26.92
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 25%
- Current value
- $35.76
- Potential payout
- $143.04
- Potential profit
- $107.28
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- -$68.66
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $55.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $44.5
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$19.5
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.6%
- Current value
- $36.59
- Potential payout
- $41.32
- Potential profit
- $4.73
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $4.99
No position
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $27.74
- Potential payout
- $30.99
- Potential profit
- $3.25
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.86K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.3K
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.91K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.43K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.41K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.85K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.97K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.21K
Yes position
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64K
No position
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 5-8, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
Thunder position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
Rockets position
Bulls vs. Rockets
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Capitals position
Canadiens vs. Capitals
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $869.73
Sabres position
Canadiens vs. Sabres
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $635.37
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $581.17
Navarro position
Adelaide International: Yulia Putintseva vs Emma Navarro
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $514.97
Warriors position
Heat vs. Warriors
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $508.31
No position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $484.69
Fingers Crossed position
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs Fingers Crossed (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Group C
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $406.33
Fokina position
Adelaide International: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rinky Hijikata
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $369
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 68% 274.42 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt concede by June 15?No 89.8% 120.3 shares
- Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?No 88% 11.2 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?No 77% 800 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 83% 1,204.82 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 91.9% 43,347.27 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 94.9% 1,673.63 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 91% 1,177.69 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 91.1% 4,951.2 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 91% 6,601.6 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 91% 8,052.21 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 91.1% 7,294.19 shares