No position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.5
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Polymarket Trader
Caribosaurus-weather
0xf15d31cef6ea07ff94c9cac338bd1409a01b0c3b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.62
- Realized PnL
- -$2.18
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $1.92
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $36.54
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.08
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $4.84
- Potential payout
- $11.12
- Potential profit
- $6.28
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $2.18
- Potential payout
- $10.64
- Potential profit
- $8.46
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$2.82
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $0.18
- Potential payout
- $4.94
- Potential profit
- $4.76
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.74
No position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.87
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 1?No 58% 7.35 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on July 1?Yes 47% 10.64 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 1?No 10% 4.94 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 1?No 35% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 1?No 31% 10 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 1?No 5.8% 50 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 1?No 68% 7.35 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 2?No 45% 11.11 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 1?Yes 13% 38.46 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 1?Yes 78% 1.31 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 2?No 41% 22.72 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 1?No 51.2% 15.87 shares