No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11K
- Potential profit
- $11.11K
- User PnL
- -$499.99
Polymarket Trader
bottling
0xf1629522ce3d5e4cb3d6e61ca0cdb980b47fba35
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.32K
- Realized PnL
- $14.31K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.76K
- Potential profit
- $8.76K
- User PnL
- -$499.99
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.27K
- Potential profit
- $8.27K
- User PnL
- -$5.18K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53%
- Current value
- $1.1K
- Potential payout
- $2.07K
- Potential profit
- $972.65
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- -$203.18
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $1.08K
- Potential payout
- $1.36K
- Potential profit
- $279.06
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$17.79
Yes position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $31.66
- Potential payout
- $204.27
- Potential profit
- $172.61
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$45.96
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.92
- Potential profit
- $199.92
- User PnL
- -$97.96
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $1.53
- Potential payout
- $170.13
- Potential profit
- $168.6
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$110.31
No position
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $94.02
- Potential payout
- $111.27
- Potential profit
- $17.25
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
No position
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $12.66
- Potential payout
- $32.87
- Potential profit
- $20.22
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $2.66
Yes position
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $2.64
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $25.14
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$7.36
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $1.3
- Potential profit
- $0.29
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.52K
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45K
No position
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal by Friday?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43K
No position
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $880.85
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $718.86
No position
Will Trump reduce tariffs on Mexico or Canada today?
Ends Mar 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $560.59
No position
Will Solana hit $225 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $401.96
No position
Will fewer than 50k federal employees accept the buyout?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $356.67
No position
Will Biden say "Hunter" during farewell address?
Ends Jan 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $351
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $326.48
No position
Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $324.66
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $321.26
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $304.23
100k position
Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $293.08
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $263.64
No position
Did Kanye sell his twitter account?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $256.99
Yes position
Dogecoin above $0.40 on November 29?
Ends Nov 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195.49
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $191.25
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $176.23
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.68
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.66
No position
Bitcoin above $89,000 on March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.87
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 95.2% 1,369.86 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 4.5% 11,112.2 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?No 5.7% 8,759.7 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 88% 962.54 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 52% 576.92 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 82.3% 400 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 47% 376.6 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 67% 1,492.54 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 63.3% 7,895.38 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 73% 1,369.86 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 73.4% 1,362.54 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 84.2% 4,577.48 shares