Polymarket Trader

rocky42017

0xf16dd3586eb9ca2b002a0498548b15439991b7f9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.88K
Realized PnL: $29.4K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $7
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.99K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$27

Yes position

Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $6.88
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $3.13

Yes position

Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $668.65
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $581.17
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $397.17

Yes position

Rippling IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $187.47
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.06K
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$90.24

Yes position

Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $5.62
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$34.3

Yes position

Vanta IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $193.67
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.06K
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$86.25

Yes position

Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $6.87
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $3.12

Yes position

Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $156.14
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.09K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$110.39

Yes position

Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $217.72
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $991.85
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: $7.14

Yes position

Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $28.36
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $1.13K
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$196.59

Yes position

Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $84.01
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $966.13
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$136.94

Yes position

Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $42.8
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $988.48
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $5.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $994.56
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Celonis IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $118.55
Potential payout: $948.36
Potential profit: $829.82
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$104.91

Yes position

Mistral AI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $142.45
Potential payout: $919.06
Potential profit: $776.61
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$24.25

Yes position

Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $4.01
Potential payout: $890.87
Potential profit: $886.86
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$24

Yes position

Anduril IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $99.92
Potential payout: $868.83
Potential profit: $768.92
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$131.98

No position

Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $204.27
Potential payout: $817.08
Potential profit: $612.81
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$42.48

Yes position

Ramp IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $81.81
Potential payout: $779.17
Potential profit: $697.35
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$153.21

Yes position

Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $131.65
Potential payout: $612.31
Potential profit: $480.66
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$55.4

No position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $246.77
Potential payout: $609.31
Potential profit: $362.54
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$60.28

Yes position

Databricks IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $100.72
Potential payout: $516.51
Potential profit: $415.79
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$56.21

Yes position

Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $112.28
Potential payout: $488.17
Potential profit: $375.89
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: $12.19

No position

Will the Democratic Party win the NY-14 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $29.55
Potential payout: $454.55
Potential profit: $425
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$2.27

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Chile win on 2025-11-18?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.66K

Bulls position

76ers vs. Bulls

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67K

Yes position

Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-18?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36K

Yes position

Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-10-18?

Ends Oct 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22K

Yes position

Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-01-24?

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22K

Over position

Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2K

Yes position

Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.2K

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on December 17?

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18K

Yes position

Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-02-16?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18K

Yes position

Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-12?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14K

No position

Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-02?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14K

Yes position

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14K

Yes position

Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-01-25?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11K

Demoor position

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05K

FC Porto position

Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04K

Kings position

Rockets vs. Kings

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03K

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,725-$4,850 in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

Over position

RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

Yes position

Will Carrarese Calcio vs. US Catanzaro 1929 end in a draw?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $989.19

Stade Brestois 29 position

Spread: Stade Brestois 29 (-1.5)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $971.4

Yes position

Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $969.99

Yes position

Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-05?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $966.21

No position

Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 24?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $962.79

Over position

Fenerbahçe SK vs. Gaziantep FK: O/U 4.5

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $959.48

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 16.6% 53 shares
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Yes 13.9% 16 shares
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Yes 13.9% 50 shares
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Yes 16.5% 50 shares
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 20.3% 209.87 shares
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 20.5% 16 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

No 24.1% 10 shares
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 21.4% 31 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 17?

No 10% 8 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 17?

No 37% 8 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 17?

Yes 6.6% 47 shares
OpenAI IPO before 2027?

No 42% 9.09 shares