Polymarket Trader

samsami

0xf1740d415e8e60cccdae9112d23d24630ea3a445

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.7K
Realized PnL: $3.2K
Win rate: 54.2%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 40.8%
Current value: $2.04K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $2.96K
Multiplier: 2.45x
User PnL: -$458

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 59.2%
Current value: $2.96K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $2.04K
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: $457.5

No position

Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $564.07
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $470.92
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $336.02

No position

Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $137.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $362.5
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $52.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 94.7%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $2.31K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 26?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $346.45

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 4?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $334.77

No position

Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.2%
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $52

No position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.77

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.9

Yes position

Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.96

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 6?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.15

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 12?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.32

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on January 15?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.7

No position

Starmer out by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 13?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ethena be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 16?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.47

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 81.1%
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.4

No position

Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.8

Yes position

Will MEXC be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?

Yes 15% 300 shares
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?

No 93% 200 shares
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?

No 28% 300 shares
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?

Yes 15.2% 20 shares
Will MEXC be accused of insider trading?

Yes 11% 30 shares
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?

Yes 12% 20 shares
Will Hyperliquid be accused of insider trading?

Yes 1.5% 100 shares
Will Ethena be accused of insider trading?

Yes 0.8% 130 shares
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

No 38% 2,600 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17?

Up 0.8% 2,078.31 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Up 42% 2.31 shares
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 3.8% 5,000 shares