sek123

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $407.41
Potential profit: $407.41
User PnL: -$110

Yes position

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $2.9
Potential payout: $386.1
Potential profit: $383.21
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$17.1

Yes position

Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $7.66
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $304.84
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$2.34

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $127.94
Potential payout: $308.3
Potential profit: $180.36
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$12.05

Yes position

Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $158.73
Potential profit: $158.73
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $135.8
Potential profit: $135.8
User PnL: -$110

Yes position

Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $126.81
Potential profit: $126.81
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $6.88
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $118.13
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$3.13

Yes position

Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $3.78
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $107.33
Multiplier: 29.41x
User PnL: -$6.22

Mexico position

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $88.93
Potential profit: $88.93
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84.4
Potential profit: $84.4
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$10

Ecuador position

Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.82
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.82
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $19.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $30.25
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$0.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.98

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.33

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.81

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Implied probability: 31.5%
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $11.54

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.91

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.22

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.17

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.55

Yes position

Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.56

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?

Implied probability: 10.5%
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $3.33

Bosnia and Herzegovina position

Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.08

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.83

Yes position

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.77

Yes position

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 9.9%
Multiplier: 10.15x
User PnL: $0.64

Yes position

Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.53

Yes position

Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

Spain position

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?