Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $42.23
- Potential payout
- $67.57
- Potential profit
- $25.34
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $28.72
Polymarket Trader
0xf17d...11fd
0xf17ddf9371786fb6b2f55b0249f67b97096911fd
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $99.42
- Realized PnL
- -$8.02
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.1%
- Current value
- $31.15
- Potential payout
- $39.41
- Potential profit
- $8.26
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$3.68
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $21.59
- Potential payout
- $27.7
- Potential profit
- $6.11
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $6.19
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $1.89
- Potential payout
- $2.72
- Potential profit
- $0.83
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $1.56
- Potential payout
- $2.45
- Potential profit
- $0.89
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1.02
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.25
Yes position
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.24
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3
No position
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
Will Qualcomm (QCOM) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.47
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.93
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.47
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.17
No position
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.96
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 84.2% 10.04 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 86% 13.13 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 92.9% 16.24 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 62% 5.18 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 51% 4.25 shares
- Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No 97.4% 55.14 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 20% 77 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 55.6% 27.7 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 57% 2.72 shares
- Will Qualcomm (QCOM) beat quarterly earnings?No 9% 14.85 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 28?Down 66% 2.17 shares
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No 60% 2.45 shares