Polymarket Trader

PP55P

0xf18c3ac5ad26ba302c36882ef530762ce9cd18c1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $78.8
Realized PnL: $1.25
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $7.25B by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $10.87
Potential payout: $41
Potential profit: $30.13
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$8.82

Yes position

Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $10.2
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $29.8
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will REBORN Win Emea Challengers Stage

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 18.4%
Current value: $4.59
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $20.41
Multiplier: 5.45x
User PnL: -$4.91

Yes position

Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $3.25
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $21.75
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$5.75

Yes position

Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?

Ends Feb 12, 2027

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $2.88
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $22.13
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$8.13

Yes position

Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between -0.5% and 0.0%?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $3.38
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $21.63
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$7.38

No position

Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 45%
Current value: $9.9
Potential payout: $22
Potential profit: $12.1
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: -$2.86

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Tempo" during the Portugal vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $10.9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $9.1
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$4.3

Yes position

Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $14B by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $3.14
Potential payout: $19
Potential profit: $15.87
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$5.98

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Qatar" or "Russia" during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $8.15
Potential payout: $16.79
Potential profit: $8.65
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$4.95

No position

California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $14.02
Potential profit: $6.52
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$4.56

No position

Will the announcers say "Eject" or "Ejected" during the USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $4.07
Potential payout: $10.84
Potential profit: $6.78
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$4.72

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Record" during the Switzerland vs Canada FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the Portugal vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Nike be the shirt manufacturer of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Champion?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 52.5%
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the announcers say "Paris" during Netherlands vs Morocco?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 38°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition

No 84% 21.98 shares
Will Aristotle self-certify sports event contracts by December 31, 2026?

Yes 43% 43 shares
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 3?

No 65% 3.17 shares
Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?

Yes 14.8% 50 shares
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on July 2?

Up 71% 30 shares
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on July 2?

Up 71% 20 shares
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $400B by December 31?

Yes 17% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 2?

No 73% 50 shares
Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?

No 2.6% 50 shares
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 2?

No 60% 50 shares
Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the Portugal vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 26.6% 26.54 shares
USMCA extended in 2026?

No 74.9% 50 shares