Yes position
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $650
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.35K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$182.46
Polymarket Trader
bnetopt
@bnetopt
0xf18f338022da2ee5d6e71d7df69095ce5645294c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.25K
- Realized PnL
- $41.51K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $775
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.22K
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$289.83
No position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $487.5
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.01K
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$75.78
Yes position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $375
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.13K
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$34.92
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $368.76
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $881.26
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$15.18
Yes position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $4.38
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$109.16
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $581.25
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $668.75
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$31.17
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $368.75
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $881.25
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$139.02
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $25.63
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.22K
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$86.88
Yes position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $118.75
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$31.25
Yes position
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $73.75
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- Multiplier
- 16.95x
- User PnL
- -$53.97
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $368.75
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $881.25
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$21.34
Yes position
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $13.75
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.24K
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- -$157.77
Yes position
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $221.6
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $914.81
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $29.18
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $95.63
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$103.41
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $132.48
- Potential payout
- $854.72
- Potential profit
- $722.24
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$16.88
Yes position
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $2.63
- Potential payout
- $750
- Potential profit
- $747.38
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$21.66
Yes position
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 36%
- Current value
- $270
- Potential payout
- $750
- Potential profit
- $480
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- -$154.15
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $4.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $495.5
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$48.77
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $307.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $192.5
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$12.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Biden drops out of presidential race?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.68K
Yes position
US bank failure by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.48K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.77K
Yes position
US bank failure before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75K
Yes position
Will Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.77K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.87K
No position
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3K
Yes position
Will Biden pardon Fauci?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Yes position
Will Trump say "alien" on The Joe Rogan Experience?
Ends Oct 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $973.45
No position
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?
Ends Nov 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $896.13
Yes position
Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $751.33
Yes position
Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $660.48
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $641.07
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $464.66
Yes position
Will the Director of Secret Service be fired/resign?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $447.79
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?
Ends Nov 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $317.37
Yes position
Trump releases JFK files by Tuesday?
Ends Mar 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $302.6
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $236.64
Yes position
Will Speed break the 24h backflip world record?
Ends Oct 9, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $233.76
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $218.66
Yes position
Israel military action against Iran before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199.83
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.9
Yes position
Will Trump say "TikTok" during Fox News Oval Office interview?
Ends Jan 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.5
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $120
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 87% 125 shares
- U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes 56% 52.52 shares
- Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes 56.6% 750 shares
- U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30?Yes 8% 4.28 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 90% 250 shares
- U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30?Yes 9% 25 shares
- U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30?Yes 9% 15 shares
- U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30?Yes 9% 54.69 shares
- U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30?Yes 12% 9.04 shares
- Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 74% 23.6 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 23% 125 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 73% 250 shares