Polymarket Trader

potatobrahh

0xf192501abae4c453cc15ddbe9543ed11e99a6ee2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $182.7
Realized PnL: $21.94K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.68K
Potential profit: $7.68K
User PnL: -$1.39K

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $182.7
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $1.34K
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: $36.01

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $807.25
Potential profit: $807.25
User PnL: -$735.47

Yes position

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $246.15
Potential profit: $246.15
User PnL: -$34.46

Yes position

US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $231
Potential profit: $231
User PnL: -$34.65

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$6.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.91K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.29K

Yes position

Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.05K

Yes position

Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13K

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.66K

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03K

Yes position

No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $541.68

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $506.91

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $493.41

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $487

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $483.06

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $407.66

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $375

Yes position

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $356.29

No position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $354.04

Yes position

Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $339.27

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $260.55

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $250.41

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $237.81

Yes position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.59

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.39

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $179.72

No position

Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $170.41

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?

Yes 16% 160 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?

Yes 8.9% 1,362.49 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 70.9% 161.81 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 71.8% 151.77 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 70.4% 115.42 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

No 30.4% 1,568.82 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

No 32.1% 1,568.81 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

No 21.2% 30 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

No 24% 1,098.55 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

No 23.7% 336.37 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

No 23.7% 838.69 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

No 23% 285.78 shares