No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Current value
- $18.9K
- Potential payout
- $20.21K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.32K
Polymarket Trader
9999pm9999
0xf1a2f936e355b9cb8ff3b9996e7fb2c8a735f1b6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $22.26K
- Realized PnL
- $621.71
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.4%
- Current value
- $174.81
- Potential payout
- $200.01
- Potential profit
- $25.2
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$14
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $188.41
- Potential payout
- $200.01
- Potential profit
- $11.6
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$3.6
No position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.7%
- Current value
- $185.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $14.7
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $185
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $15
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.3%
- Current value
- $176.5
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $23.5
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$7.3
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $167
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $33
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $183
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $17
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $171.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $28.1
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$3.7
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $184.55
- Potential payout
- $199.52
- Potential profit
- $14.96
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
New pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $178.49
- Potential payout
- $199.43
- Potential profit
- $20.94
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.3%
- Current value
- $175.93
- Potential payout
- $199.35
- Potential profit
- $23.42
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$2.06
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $182.37
- Potential payout
- $199.31
- Potential profit
- $16.94
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$2.99
No position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.1%
- Current value
- $159.3
- Potential payout
- $199
- Potential profit
- $39.7
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$27.11
No position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Current value
- $186.76
- Potential payout
- $199
- Potential profit
- $12.24
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $98.86
- Potential payout
- $100.01
- Potential profit
- $1.15
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $98.46
- Potential payout
- $100.01
- Potential profit
- $1.55
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $97.36
- Potential payout
- $100.01
- Potential profit
- $2.65
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$1.15
No position
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $97.76
- Potential payout
- $100.01
- Potential profit
- $2.25
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $91.51
- Potential payout
- $100.01
- Potential profit
- $8.5
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $85.01
- Potential payout
- $100.01
- Potential profit
- $15
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $98.56
- Potential payout
- $100.01
- Potential profit
- $1.45
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $98.86
- Potential payout
- $100.01
- Potential profit
- $1.15
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.4%
- Current value
- $89.41
- Potential payout
- $100.01
- Potential profit
- $10.6
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$9.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.02
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.25
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.75
No position
Over $50M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.13
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.41
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.98
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.47
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.3
No position
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.62
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $24.65
No position
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.22
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.08
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.77
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.25
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.21
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $22.54
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $20.67
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.99
No position
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.75
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.48
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.2
No position
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.78
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.67
No position
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?No 96% 95 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?No 96.2% 5.56 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?No 96.2% 94.44 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?No 96.2% 13.5 shares
- Will Tommy Paul be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No 99% 100 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?No 96.2% 21.05 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?No 96.2% 78.95 shares
- Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series?No 99% 100 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?No 96.1% 100 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 94.1% 99 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 89% 91.99 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 98% 100 shares