No position
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.19K
- Potential profit
- $3.19K
- User PnL
- -$80
Polymarket Trader
0xF1A5bCCf60bFF4AE4105E18bDcf589Ac25683dC3-1756482400930
0xf1a5bccf60bff4ae4105e18bdcf589ac25683dc3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.31K
- Realized PnL
- $1.04K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $78.49
- Potential payout
- $2.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.93K
- Multiplier
- 25.64x
- User PnL
- -$71.51
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $575.31
- Potential payout
- $1.42K
- Potential profit
- $845.22
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $125.32
Yes position
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by October 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.37K
- Potential profit
- $1.37K
- User PnL
- -$112.76
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$130
Yes position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.1%
- Current value
- $289.63
- Potential payout
- $850.62
- Potential profit
- $560.98
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- $139.64
Yes position
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $99
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $501
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$51
Yes position
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by November 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $553.85
- Potential profit
- $553.85
- User PnL
- -$71
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $52.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $447.5
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$47.5
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $474.86
- Potential profit
- $474.86
- User PnL
- -$113.21
Yes position
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $399.52
- Potential profit
- $399.52
- User PnL
- -$114
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $370.37
- Potential profit
- $370.37
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $348.84
- Potential profit
- $348.84
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.55
- Potential payout
- $238.76
- Potential profit
- $237.21
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$40.48
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $205.68
- Potential payout
- $227.27
- Potential profit
- $21.59
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $55.68
Yes position
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Ex-Prince Andrew Testify to Congress about Epstein?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $9
- Potential payout
- $145.24
- Potential profit
- $136.23
- Multiplier
- 16.13x
- User PnL
- -$21
No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $140
- User PnL
- -$42
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $290.35
Yes position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $205.82
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.32
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.82
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.94
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $50
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.33
No position
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $37.5
Yes position
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.61
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.49
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $2.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?No 2.5% 3,187.02 shares
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes 25% 600 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 36% 694.44 shares
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?No 87% 652.09 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No 13% 1,000 shares
- U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?No 88% 156.25 shares
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?No 69% 652.1 shares
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?No 93% 400 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 99.7% 277.77 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 27.5% 726.09 shares
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?No 75% 400 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 72% 277.78 shares