Yes position
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $1.89
- Potential payout
- $222.22
- Potential profit
- $220.33
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Polymarket Trader
jk96
0xf1c4aeb3429c8e0b01c82ee6fec7f0dbcdc7f745
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $83.76
- Realized PnL
- $15.96
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $8.89
- Potential payout
- $209.17
- Potential profit
- $200.28
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- $3.89
Yes position
Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $4.44
- Potential payout
- $161.29
- Potential profit
- $156.85
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $8.29
- Potential payout
- $155.03
- Potential profit
- $146.74
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- $3.29
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $143.47
- Potential profit
- $143.47
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $1.36
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $89.55
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75.5
- Potential profit
- $75.5
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.1
- Potential profit
- $59.1
- User PnL
- -$4.61
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $10.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $39.25
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $5.75
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $3.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $46.75
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $2.13
- Potential payout
- $43.48
- Potential profit
- $41.35
- Multiplier
- 20.41x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $4.02
- Potential payout
- $36.55
- Potential profit
- $32.53
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.98
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.59
- Potential profit
- $35.59
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $0.38
- Potential payout
- $32.05
- Potential profit
- $31.67
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- -$4.62
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.7%
- Current value
- $5.75
- Potential payout
- $29.24
- Potential profit
- $23.49
- Multiplier
- 5.09x
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.2%
- Current value
- $5.66
- Potential payout
- $28.09
- Potential profit
- $22.43
- Multiplier
- 4.96x
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $1.87
- Potential payout
- $26.67
- Potential profit
- $24.8
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$2.13
Yes position
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $5.8
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $16.93
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $17.24
- Potential profit
- $16.29
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$4.05
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.7%
- Current value
- $6.17
- Potential payout
- $16.39
- Potential profit
- $10.22
- Multiplier
- 2.66x
- User PnL
- $1.17
Yes position
Will Solana reach $90 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $0.4
- Potential payout
- $14.71
- Potential profit
- $14.3
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- -$4.6
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $11.76
- Potential payout
- $11.76
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $9.76
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.42
Yes position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.67
Yes position
Will Italy win on 2026-06-03?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.59
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?Yes 27% 11.11 shares
- Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?Yes 14% 21.43 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 9?Yes 3.3% 12.18 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Yes 21% 23.8 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Yes 15.6% 32.05 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 9?Yes 41% 12.19 shares
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in June?Yes 56% 20.83 shares
- Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?No 7.8% 59.1 shares
- Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?Yes 3.1% 161.29 shares
- Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 4.6% 43.48 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes 3.2% 155.03 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?No 92% 17.85 shares