Polymarket Trader

0xf1d032341D8D127ddb4ac8cCA2ffE0C50a3b1F31-1775155214744

0xf1d032341d8d127ddb4ac8cca2ffe0c50a3b1f31

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $18.66
Realized PnL: $85.24
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Iran strike UAE again in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $70.24
Potential profit: $68.24
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: $0.88

Yes position

Will Mark Juncosa be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.09
Potential profit: $63.09
User PnL: -$1.14

Yes position

Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $12.75
Potential payout: $51.01
Potential profit: $38.26
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: $11.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.72
Potential profit: $16.72
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $11.49
Potential profit: $11.24
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$0.74

Yes position

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $8
User PnL: -$0.24

No position

Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.52
Potential profit: $7.52
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.09
Potential profit: $5.09
User PnL: -$2.49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.06
Potential profit: $5.06
User PnL: -$3.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$3.6

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.01

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.17
Potential profit: $3.17
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 41.2%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $2.56
Potential profit: $1.5
Multiplier: 2.43x
User PnL: $0.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.01
Potential profit: $2.01
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 40%
Current value: $0.67
Potential payout: $1.67
Potential profit: $1
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.49
Potential profit: $1.49
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.43
Potential profit: $1.43
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 73.3%
Current value: $0.94
Potential payout: $1.28
Potential profit: $0.34
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.7%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $1.2
Potential profit: $0.21
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Juventus finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2
Potential profit: $1.2
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12PM ET

Down 49% 5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Down 64% 10.2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Down 67% 6 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

Down 48% 5.1 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Up 51% 2.38 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Up 42% 2.38 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Down 89% 5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

Up 88% 10.2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

Down 72% 5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Up 47% 5.1 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Down 55% 5.1 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

Down 4% 5.1 shares