Polymarket Trader

OKsun

0xf1e54857bb64064cac6580fbca6f1a436ec2c9e0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.37K
Realized PnL: $80.22
Win rate: 91.7%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $4.03K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $975
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $25

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $1.08K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $420
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500.01
Potential profit: $500.01
User PnL: -$17.06

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $144.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $355.25
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: $56.75

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $96.75
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $403.24
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $38.25

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $19.25
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $480.74
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: $8.75

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.01
Potential profit: $300.01
User PnL: -$54.68

Yes position

Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $205
Potential profit: $205
User PnL: -$2.05

No position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.98
Potential profit: $199.98
User PnL: -$103.89

Raptors position

Raptors vs. Cavaliers

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34

No position

Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.6

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.41

No position

US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.15

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.49

No position

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.46

Yes position

Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.4

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 25?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.09

No position

Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.88

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.73

No position

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

No position

US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

No position

US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

No position

US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 7?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

No position

US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.03

Kings position

Kings vs. Warriors

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 500 shares
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?

Yes 0.8% 295 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Yes 2.2% 200 shares
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 0.5% 450 shares
Heat vs. Hornets

Hornets 36.7% 1,000 shares
Heat vs. Hornets

Heat 7% 148.62 shares
Heat vs. Hornets

Heat 8% 48.62 shares
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?

No 57.3% 403.4 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

No 1.7% 5.1 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 98% 350 shares
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Yes 83% 20 shares
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Yes 25.2% 26.95 shares