Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 18.3%
- Current value
- $18.25K
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $81.75K
- Multiplier
- 5.48x
- User PnL
- -$31.75K
Polymarket Trader
Outsid3rTrading
0xf1ef8705e9f63c790c6fffd6329aea7011718cd6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $242.9K
- Realized PnL
- $204.06K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 81.8%
- Current value
- $81.75K
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $18.25K
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $31.75K
Yes position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $1.65K
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $98.35K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $26.25K
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $3.75K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $2.4K
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.3%
- Current value
- $1.82K
- Potential payout
- $25K
- Potential profit
- $23.18K
- Multiplier
- 13.70x
- User PnL
- -$1.12K
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $13.62K
- Potential payout
- $25K
- Potential profit
- $11.37K
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $3.91K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $18.2K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $1.8K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.8K
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $16.1K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $3.9K
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$499.76
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.9%
- Current value
- $2.57K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $17.43K
- Multiplier
- 7.78x
- User PnL
- $470
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $15.96K
- Potential payout
- $16K
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- $3.04K
No position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $8.05K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $1.95K
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$349.99
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $665
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.34K
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$195
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $9.69K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $315
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.09K
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $395
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.61K
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$95
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $2.95K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $7.05K
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$249.99
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $9.92K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $75
- User PnL
- $2.32K
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16.1%
- Current value
- $1.53K
- Potential payout
- $9.54K
- Potential profit
- $8.01K
- Multiplier
- 6.23x
- User PnL
- -$100.22
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.9%
- Current value
- $3.04K
- Potential payout
- $8.24K
- Potential profit
- $5.21K
- Multiplier
- 2.71x
- User PnL
- -$152.49
Max Holloway position
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $5.4K
- Potential payout
- $8K
- Potential profit
- $2.6K
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$120
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.6%
- Current value
- $5.08K
- Potential payout
- $6.08K
- Potential profit
- $996.32
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$8.47
Yes position
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- User PnL
- -$3.12K
Yes position
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- User PnL
- -$1.8K
Qatar position
Spread: Canada (-3.5)
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- User PnL
- -$5.16K
No position
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- User PnL
- -$2.94K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.36K
Cavs position
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.08K
76ers position
76ers vs. Celtics
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.7K
Mavericks position
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.14K
Celtics position
Magic vs. Celtics
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.5K
Suns position
Lakers vs. Suns
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.59K
Pacers position
Pacers vs. Knicks
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.46K
No position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.3K
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.1K
No position
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.79K
No position
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.4K
No position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.4K
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.3K
Yes position
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.19K
Thunder position
Cavaliers vs. Thunder
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.1K
Bucks position
Bucks vs. Pelicans
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.1K
Celtics position
Celtics vs. Lakers
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.88K
Allen position
Allen vs. de Ridder
Ends Oct 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.86K
Thunder position
Thunder vs. Raptors
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.54K
Warriors position
Nuggets vs. Warriors
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.52K
No position
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-12?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.3K
No position
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.24K
No position
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-20?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.11K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.1K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 62% 505 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 62% 258 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?No 5.1% 320 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 98% 20,000 shares
- Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?Yes 51% 5,000 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 83.9% 1,075.14 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 95% 82.3 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?No 96.5% 3,547.62 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 3.8% 20,000 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 76% 230.01 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Yes 9% 7,854.9 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 15% 2,018.02 shares