Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.6%
- Current value
- $703.8
- Potential payout
- $3.6K
- Potential profit
- $2.9K
- Multiplier
- 5.12x
- User PnL
- -$1.1K
Polymarket Trader
kamikazetrading
@gomarcano9
0xf1f81d40ae910099e1a65addb54942e76ca0f4cb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.68K
- Realized PnL
- $10.71K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 50
- Closed positions
- 50
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $2.9K
- Potential payout
- $3.6K
- Potential profit
- $703.8
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Yes position
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $10.5
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.99K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $13
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.99K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $4.38
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$5.63
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $15.5
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $984.49
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $819.4
- Potential profit
- $819.4
- User PnL
- -$34.26
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600.01
- Potential profit
- $600.01
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $579.72
- Potential profit
- $579.72
- User PnL
- -$35.33
No position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $550.13
- Potential profit
- $550.13
- User PnL
- -$1.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $543.69
- Potential profit
- $543.69
- User PnL
- -$3.82
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $7.75
- Potential payout
- $499.95
- Potential profit
- $492.2
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $412.86
- Potential profit
- $412.86
- User PnL
- -$13.12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $404.99
- Potential profit
- $404.99
- User PnL
- -$2.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$5.6
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $25.4
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $374.6
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 74°F or higher on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $367.74
- Potential profit
- $367.74
- User PnL
- -$2.24
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $350
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $320
- Potential profit
- $320
- User PnL
- -$3.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $316.63
- Potential profit
- $316.63
- User PnL
- -$1.27
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $287.12
- Potential profit
- $287.12
- User PnL
- -$7.58
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $271.39
- Potential profit
- $271.39
- User PnL
- -$42.62
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $269.97
- Potential profit
- $269.97
- User PnL
- -$11.56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $261
- Potential profit
- $261
- User PnL
- -$0.91
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $257.67
- Potential profit
- $257.67
- User PnL
- -$22.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $249.99
- Potential profit
- $249.99
- User PnL
- -$1.75
Yes position
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-06?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $249.99
- Potential profit
- $249.99
- User PnL
- -$8.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $239.5
- Potential profit
- $239.5
- User PnL
- -$21.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $230
- Potential profit
- $230
- User PnL
- -$14.1
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $225.1
- Potential profit
- $225.1
- User PnL
- -$48.34
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $212.21
- Potential profit
- $212.21
- User PnL
- -$6.56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $204.99
- Potential profit
- $204.99
- User PnL
- -$3.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.64
- Potential profit
- $199.64
- User PnL
- -$2.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $180
- Potential profit
- $180
- User PnL
- -$14.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $171.22
- Potential profit
- $171.22
- User PnL
- -$2.46
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $170
- Potential profit
- $170
- User PnL
- -$40.8
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $169.99
- Potential profit
- $169.99
- User PnL
- -$10.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 90-91°F on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$2.55
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$6.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$8.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$9.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $149.99
- Potential profit
- $149.99
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $149.99
- Potential profit
- $149.99
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $137.36
- Potential profit
- $137.36
- User PnL
- -$8.43
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $135
- Potential profit
- $135
- User PnL
- -$1.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $622.63
Yes position
Will Jill Stein get the most votes of any 3rd party candidate?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $561.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on February 21?
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $438.2
Yes position
Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $399.72
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 25?
Ends Sep 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $384.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 65°F or higher on October 30?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $372.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 72°F or higher on March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $360.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on January 11?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $335.73
Yes position
Will the HBO documentary identify David Kleiman as Satoshi?
Ends Oct 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $297.87
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 46°F or higher on January 15?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $269.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $263.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on February 17?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $249
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 36°F or higher on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $244.56
Trump position
Who will win young men?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $243.47
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $228.79
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on January 14?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 37°F or higher on December 8?
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $213.6
Harris position
Who will win young men?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $208.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $208.27
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 59°F or higher on March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $203.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 35-36°F on February 21?
Ends Feb 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196.71
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 5?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 63°F or higher on March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.87
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on February 27?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $169.72
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 18?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165.69
No position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.49
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 55-56°F on February 27?
Ends Feb 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.11
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.36
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.43
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 51-52°F on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.09
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.62
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.93
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 63-64°F on October 30?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.71
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 40-41°F on March 3?
Ends Mar 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.55
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on November 18?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on November 25?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.41
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.79
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.82
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on January 10?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.71
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 32°F or below on February 2?
Ends Jan 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.86
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.31
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 12?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.31
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 45°F or higher on February 16?
Ends Feb 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.34
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on January 8?
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.88
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 16?Yes 40% 12.97 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 16?Yes 42% 19.72 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 16?Yes 38.1% 71.88 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 16?Yes 1% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 90-91°F on June 14?Yes 2.7% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 14?Yes 85% 30 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 14?Yes 8.5% 25 shares
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.1% 46 shares
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to ScoreYes 54% 12 shares
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.4% 335.52 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 13?Yes 0.3% 515.22 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 13?Yes 1% 100 shares