Polymarket Trader

haferrosy

0xf1fa068dcadb013624b0d1c71de6c560b45414a2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $86.87
Realized PnL: $33.87
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $48.2
Potential payout: $81
Potential profit: $32.81
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $7.7

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $32.81
Potential payout: $81
Potential profit: $48.2
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$7.7

Yes position

Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9
Potential profit: $9
User PnL: -$1.98

Yes position

Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $8
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $8
User PnL: -$1.12

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $8
User PnL: -$1.92

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $8
User PnL: -$5.44

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $7
User PnL: -$4.13

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $7
User PnL: -$4.76

Yes position

Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $7
User PnL: -$1.47

Yes position

Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $7
User PnL: -$1.33

No position

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $5.87
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $0.13
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.24

Yes position

Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.6

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.18

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.7

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.97

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $2.15

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47

No position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.84

No position

Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

No position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

No position

Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 29?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 28?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?

Yes 8% 12.5 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 91% 10 shares
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?

Yes 15% 8 shares
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 79% 8 shares
Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?

Yes 19% 7 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 68% 7 shares
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?

Yes 14% 8 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 80% 6 shares
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Yes 21% 7 shares
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 66% 7 shares
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?

Yes 24% 8 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 61% 8 shares