Yes position
Will Israel invade Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
Orphan
0xf1fcfd67010e79d72c4c1c718e308e844c5bd083
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.43
- Realized PnL
- -$8.41
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end October 19-22?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.45
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Russia capture Yunakivka before August?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.38
- Potential profit
- $15.38
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $6.68
- Potential payout
- $7.38
- Potential profit
- $0.7
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.88
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.29
- Potential profit
- $5.29
- User PnL
- -$3.6
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $3.75
- Potential payout
- $3.75
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Another crypto hack over $100m in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.34
Yes position
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.89
No position
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?
Ends Aug 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Trump approval >40% on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.06
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.01
No position
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?No 80% 3.75 shares
- Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?No 67% 2.99 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No 65% 7.38 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?No 68% 5.29 shares
- Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?No 84.1% 5.95 shares
- Will the Government shutdown end October 19-22?Yes 2.2% 45.45 shares
- US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No 80% 4.13 shares
- Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No 24% 41.67 shares
- Another crypto hack over $100m in 2025?No 72% 27.78 shares
- Another crypto hack over $100m in 2025?No 57% 8.18 shares
- Will Russia capture Yunakivka before August?Yes 65% 15.38 shares
- Another crypto hack over $100m in 2025?No 51% 19.61 shares