No position
Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $3.51K
- Potential payout
- $3.52K
- Potential profit
- $12.32
- User PnL
- $899.13
Polymarket Trader
knowerofmarkets
0xf1fddaa5047e7ea0188ecebf8effb2a3a6edb42c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.74K
- Realized PnL
- $5.94K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $1.79K
- Potential payout
- $1.91K
- Potential profit
- $124.47
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $167.58
No position
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $880.11
- Potential payout
- $910.14
- Potential profit
- $30.03
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $145.94
Yes position
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $164
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $636
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$36
No position
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $195
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $305
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- $15.77
Yes position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $46
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $354
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$71
No position
Will UNI reach $15.50 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $324.89
- Potential payout
- $363
- Potential profit
- $38.12
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$1.93
No position
Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $326.6
- Potential payout
- $355
- Potential profit
- $28.4
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $17.75
No position
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $333.82
- Potential payout
- $338.05
- Potential profit
- $4.23
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $30.48
No position
Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $293.54
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $6.45
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $38.55
No position
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $182.03
- Potential payout
- $211.66
- Potential profit
- $29.63
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $58.54
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$74
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $119.2
- Potential payout
- $160
- Potential profit
- $40.8
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$9.4
No position
Will Claude go down 3-5 times in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $118.66
- Potential payout
- $120.1
- Potential profit
- $1.44
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $8.37
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $98.7
- Potential payout
- $106.7
- Potential profit
- $8
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.7
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 79.8%
- Current value
- $79.8
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $20.2
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $22.8
No position
Will Tempo launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $98.1
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $1.9
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $19.25
No position
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $95.95
- Potential payout
- $98.67
- Potential profit
- $2.71
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $20.97
Yes position
Will Claude go down 6-8 times in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $43.29
- Potential payout
- $94.1
- Potential profit
- $50.81
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- $24.28
No position
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65
- Potential profit
- $65
- User PnL
- -$20.1
No position
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $38.84
- Potential payout
- $60.22
- Potential profit
- $21.38
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $7.68
Yes position
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $31.22
- Potential profit
- $26.22
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$9.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4K
Yes position
Will Claude go down 12+ times in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $782.39
No position
Ethereum all time high by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $342.71
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $321.75
Yes position
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $289.64
Yes position
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $283.21
No position
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $267.99
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $255.08
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210.05
No position
Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168.35
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165.08
Yes position
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.04
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.55
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.55
$2k position
Will Ethereum hit $2k or $3k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.75
No position
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.37
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.4
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.3
No position
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.77
No position
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Australian Open?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.6
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.62
No position
Will Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.55
No position
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.37
Yes position
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?Yes 89.9% 105 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?No 17% 20 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?No 31% 92.96 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?No 31% 100 shares
- Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Yes 39% 116 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?No 91% 96.7 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 18% 100 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No 79% 20 shares
- Will UNI reach $15.50 by December 31, 2026?No 94% 93 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?No 93% 215 shares
- Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?No 89.7% 378 shares
- Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?No 50.5% 371.22 shares