Polymarket Trader

0xF1ff041d94129Cd93A4C4f878E54A1500543B67d-1763028592577

0xf1ff041d94129cd93a4c4f878e54a1500543b67d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $215.29
Realized PnL: $25.14
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 18
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $164.5
Potential payout: $197.01
Potential profit: $32.51
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $5.91

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $50.79
Potential payout: $55.81
Potential profit: $5.02
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $4.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 68-69°F on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$3.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.17
Potential profit: $24.17
User PnL: -$2.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.61
Potential profit: $16.61
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.87
Potential profit: $8.87
User PnL: -$4.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.8
Potential profit: $6.8
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $2
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 66-67°F on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 66-67°F on January 28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.37

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 20-21°F on January 27?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.27

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on January 29?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 66-67°F on January 30?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be 74°F or higher on January 29?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be 59°F or below on February 2?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.33

Korea Republic position

Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5)

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.67

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on January 27?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.48

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on July 2?

No 92% 0.05 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on July 2?

Yes 87% 50 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Up 43% 19.23 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Up 26% 19.23 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on July 2?

No 83% 50.36 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on July 2?

Yes 86.3% 50 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on July 2?

No 82% 5.5 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on July 2?

Yes 78% 29.45 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on July 2?

Yes 68.3% 17.56 shares
Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5)

Korea Republic 5% 700 shares
Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5)

Korea Republic 5.1% 600 shares
Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5)

Korea Republic 5% 100 shares