Yes position
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.3%
- Current value
- $108.12
- Potential payout
- $275.47
- Potential profit
- $167.35
- Multiplier
- 2.55x
- User PnL
- $93.12
Polymarket Trader
0xf21870c123f82e05745b319E02C398D7CF7c8e12-1767758271722
0xf21870c123f82e05745b319e02c398d7cf7c8e12
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $276.61
- Realized PnL
- $175.91
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $267.6
- Potential profit
- $267.6
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $263.16
- Potential profit
- $263.16
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $146.93
- Potential payout
- $224.32
- Potential profit
- $77.39
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $112.98
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $17.14
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $125.71
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$32.86
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $140.12
- Potential profit
- $140.12
- User PnL
- -$76.93
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $117.21
- Potential profit
- $117.21
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.94
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $110.17
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.42
- Potential profit
- $62.42
- User PnL
- -$4.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $51
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $39.1
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.62
- Potential profit
- $28.62
- User PnL
- -$9.89
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $24
- User PnL
- -$16.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.1
- Potential profit
- $14.1
- User PnL
- -$4.94
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.63
- Potential profit
- $11.63
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.6%
- Current value
- $1.73
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $9.38
- Multiplier
- 6.43x
- User PnL
- $0.73
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.09
- Potential profit
- $11.09
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.33
- Potential profit
- $8.33
- User PnL
- -$1.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.63
- Potential profit
- $6.63
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.58
- Potential profit
- $5.58
- User PnL
- -$2.57
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16.1%
- Current value
- $0.84
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $4.42
- Multiplier
- 6.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.96
- Potential profit
- $4.96
- User PnL
- -$1.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Canada recession before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.93
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.34
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.37
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.23
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.29
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.07
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Canada recession before 2027?Yes 96.9% 73.17 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETDown 46% 5.58 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETDown 48% 2.67 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 99.6% 1.34 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 93% 1.34 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 18% 6.93 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETUp 45% 3.28 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETUp 99% 1.52 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETUp 97% 1.53 shares
- Canada recession before 2027?Yes 41% 73.17 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?Yes 5.6% 88.65 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?Yes 3.8% 263.16 shares