No position
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 59%
- Current value
- $33.71
- Potential payout
- $57.14
- Potential profit
- $23.43
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- $5.71
Polymarket Trader
0xF22497d0979a7Da4C8f5AF347ab63298E6DcdC0a-1779254197725
0xf22497d0979a7da4c8f5af347ab63298e6dcdc0a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $54.73
- Realized PnL
- $155.19
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.3%
- Current value
- $21.02
- Potential payout
- $54.95
- Potential profit
- $33.93
- Multiplier
- 2.61x
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.9
- Potential profit
- $52.9
- User PnL
- -$26.45
Yes position
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.6
- Potential profit
- $30.6
- User PnL
- -$10.71
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.28
- Potential profit
- $20.28
- User PnL
- -$10.75
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.77
- Potential profit
- $17.77
- User PnL
- -$10.06
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.72
- Potential profit
- $14.72
- User PnL
- -$5.3
Over position
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.8
- Potential profit
- $9.8
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.43
- Potential profit
- $9.43
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $17.78
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.49
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- $10.4
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.08
Yes position
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.32
Yes position
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.19
Yes position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7
Yes position
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.6%
- Multiplier
- 13.16x
- User PnL
- $6.92
Yes position
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.62
Yes position
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.41
Morocco position
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.11
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.91
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.44
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.42
Yes position
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.15
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.37
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.89
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.56
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.52
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.49
Thunder position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.42
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.34
Yes position
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.72
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 36.4% 54.95 shares
- Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.1% 538.33 shares
- Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 50% 55.55 shares
- Canada vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceMorocco 72% 21.81 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-30?Yes 78% 15.85 shares
- Will Harry Kane win the Silver Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 15.8% 13.2 shares
- Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?Yes 99% 10.5 shares
- Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?Yes 36% 10.5 shares
- Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?Yes 6% 64.88 shares
- Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?Yes 27% 64.89 shares
- Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?Yes 60% 17.97 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?Yes 60% 10.92 shares