Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.54
Polymarket Trader
michealmasie7045
0xf229ade00abf92fdc61710f51336796510247e60
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $11.2
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50k in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.42
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.08
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.52
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 225–249 times June 6–13?
Ends Jun 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.06
Yes position
Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.54
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50k in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.42
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.08
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.52
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 225–249 times June 6–13?
Ends Jun 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.06
Yes position
Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Trump signs national abortion ban?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Trump deport 1,500,000-1,750,000 people?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump impose a blanket tariff of 30-40% on the EU by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $150-200b in federal spending in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Călin Georgescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 79.8% 3 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 38% 69 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 38% 83 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 85.3% 47 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes 3.1% 7 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes 3.5% 15 shares
- Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes 6.7% 46 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 14% 83 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No 22% 57 shares
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes 6% 40 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?No 42% 3 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 33% 39 shares