Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$55
Polymarket Trader
0xf231137AaA9A413d9C9429c49D6b43A6e31c5df9-1762202614276
0xf231137aaa9a413d9c9429c49d6b43a6e31c5df9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $48.7
- Realized PnL
- $48.28
- Win rate
- 90.9%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$11.57
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $3.89
- Potential payout
- $181.82
- Potential profit
- $177.93
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- $1.89
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $118.88
- Potential profit
- $118.88
- User PnL
- -$20
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.33
- Potential profit
- $66.33
- User PnL
- -$6.98
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.77
- Potential profit
- $40.77
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.8%
- Current value
- $11.1
- Potential payout
- $31.06
- Potential profit
- $19.95
- Multiplier
- 2.80x
- User PnL
- $6.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.95
- Potential profit
- $29.95
- User PnL
- -$2.7
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $3.74
- Potential payout
- $29.76
- Potential profit
- $26.03
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- -$1.26
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.4%
- Current value
- $5.77
- Potential payout
- $27.03
- Potential profit
- $21.26
- Multiplier
- 4.68x
- User PnL
- $3.77
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.68
- Potential profit
- $26.68
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.8%
- Current value
- $4.03
- Potential payout
- $24.04
- Potential profit
- $20.01
- Multiplier
- 5.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $10.3
- Potential payout
- $19.26
- Potential profit
- $8.96
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.41
- Potential profit
- $17.41
- User PnL
- -$2.98
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $15.99
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.7
- Potential profit
- $15.7
- User PnL
- -$2.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.86
- Potential profit
- $10.86
- User PnL
- -$7.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.45
- Potential profit
- $10.45
- User PnL
- -$4.81
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $3.8
- Potential payout
- $10.42
- Potential profit
- $6.61
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.7%
- Current value
- $1.57
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.43
- Multiplier
- 6.37x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $1.45
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.55
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.3%
- Current value
- $2.03
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $7.97
- Multiplier
- 4.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.78
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.25
Yes position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.62
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.21
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-07-04?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.77
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-06? AND Will France win on 2026-07-04?17.4% 16.78 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-06? AND Will France win on 2026-07-04? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?7.7% 62.9 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Yes 54% 9.26 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETUp 70% 3.44 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETUp 58% 3.45 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Yes 27.4% 7.3 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Yes 1.1% 181.82 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Yes 7.4% 27.03 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Yes 24.6% 8.13 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 15% 10 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?Yes 58% 5 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Yes 55.9% 5 shares