Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $270.27
- Potential profit
- $270.27
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
Micromaus
0xf2357f3883c5e803fd69fa529d1c6bfa6d96110b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $175.37
- Win rate
- 46.7%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
GPT-5 released in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?
Ends Aug 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.68
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.06
Gukesh position
World Chess Championship 2024 Winner
Ends Dec 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.37
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.92
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.73
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $2.72
Yes position
USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?
Ends Aug 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$0.85
Yes position
Will Trump post 16-20 times this week?
Ends Aug 16, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Kamala announce VP pick Sunday?
Ends Aug 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the Speed Chess Championship?
Ends Sep 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Kamala announce VP pick Saturday?
Ends Aug 3, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Girl position
Bieber Baby: Boy or Girl?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?Yes 3.9% 1,845.34 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes 4.1% 2,418.32 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?Yes 3.7% 270.27 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 99.9% 108.17 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?Yes 44% 22.73 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 39% 76.92 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 64% 31.25 shares
- Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?Yes 98.3% 143.11 shares
- Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?Yes 45.7% 72.17 shares
- Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?Yes 56.4% 70.95 shares
- Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?No 27% 50 shares
- Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?No 36% 50 shares