Polymarket Trader

RiskyWager

0xf244d58b9e0a83ad68b16fb7c940aeb391b7bedd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $794.55
Realized PnL: $5.63K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will "Running Point: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $583.76
Potential profit: $583.76
User PnL: -$24.78

Yes position

Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top global Netflix movie this week?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $254
Potential profit: $254
User PnL: -$14.37

Yes position

Will "The Witness" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $170.31
Potential profit: $170.31
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will "Maternal Instinct" be the top global Netflix movie this week?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $160.14
Potential payout: $161.43
Potential profit: $1.29
User PnL: $1.72

No position

Will "AMERICA'S SWEETHEARTS: Dallas Cowboys Cheerleaders: Season 3" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $90.58
Potential payout: $90.9
Potential profit: $0.32
User PnL: $0.68

No position

Will "Danny Go!: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $73.84
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $1.16
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.4

No position

Will "KPop Demon Hunters" be the top global Netflix movie this week?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $60.12
Potential payout: $60.45
Potential profit: $0.33
User PnL: $1.01

No position

Will "Sweet Magnolias: Season 5" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $59.04
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $0.96
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.36

No position

Will "Ms. Rachel: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $58.04
Potential payout: $58.98
Potential profit: $0.94
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.35

No position

Will "Maternal Instinct" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $53.98
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $1.02
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will "Ronda Rousey vs Gina Carano" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$1.56

No position

Will "Swapped" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $33.28
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $0.95

No position

Will "Percy Jackson & the Olympians: The Lightning Thief" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $33.25
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $0.08
User PnL: $0.92

No position

Will "Street Kings" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $33.08
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $0.25
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Will "KPop Demon Hunters" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $33.18
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $0.15
User PnL: $0.85

No position

Will "Percy Jackson & the Olympians: The Lightning Thief" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $31.84
Potential payout: $32
Potential profit: $0.16
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Will "Danny Go!: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.4%
Current value: $23.15
Potential payout: $24.28
Potential profit: $1.13
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.88

No position

Will "Street Kings" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $16.5
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $0.17
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.83

No position

Will "The Polygamist: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $15.54
Potential payout: $16
Potential profit: $0.46
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will "The Last Ship: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $14.01
Potential payout: $14.36
Potential profit: $0.35
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will "Office Romance" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.5

No position

Will "GOAT" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $4.98
Potential payout: $4.99
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.29

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will "MLB Opening Night: Yankees vs. Giants" be the top US Netflix show this week?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $583.63

No position

Solana all time high before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $461.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $336.85

Yes position

Will "M3GAN 2.0" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (February 3)

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $303.97

Yes position

Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $277.45

Yes position

Will STAČILO! get less than 5% of the vote in the Czech election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $276.69

Yes position

Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top US Netflix show this week? (February 10)

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $270.83

Yes position

Will Jutta Leerdam (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $250

Yes position

Will "The Rip" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (January 27, 2026)

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $249.9

No position

Will Solana reach $190 in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $222.8

Yes position

Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $215.51

No position

Will "Bridgerton: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026)

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.55

No position

Will "Love is Blind: Season 10" be the top US Netflix show this week?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212.61

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.45

No position

Will "Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $207.47

Yes position

Will "War Machine" be the top global Netflix movie this week?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $179.72

Yes position

Will “The Witcher: Season 4” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 11 2025)

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.78

Yes position

Will "His & Hers" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162.3

No position

Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.25

No position

Will "STEEL BALL RUN JoJo's Bizarre Adventure" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.43

Yes position

Will "Sean Combs: The Reckoning: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 16, 2025)

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.15

Yes position

Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136

Yes position

Will "People We Meet on Vacation" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (January 20, 2026)

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.21

Yes position

Will Mikie Sherrill win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?

Ends Jun 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.28

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will "The Last Ship: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?

No 98.2% 14.36 shares
Will "Danny Go!: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?

No 99% 18.63 shares
Will "Danny Go!: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?

No 98.9% 5.65 shares
Will "Maternal Instinct" be the top global Netflix movie this week?

No 99% 14.9 shares
Will "Maternal Instinct" be the top global Netflix movie this week?

No 98.9% 33.2 shares
Will "Maternal Instinct" be the top global Netflix movie this week?

No 98.8% 83.33 shares
Will "Ms. Rachel: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

No 99% 58.98 shares
Will "Danny Go!: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

No 99% 60 shares
Will "Danny Go!: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

No 98.9% 15 shares
Will "Sweet Magnolias: Season 5" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

No 99% 60 shares
Will "The Polygamist: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?

No 97% 16 shares
Will "AMERICA'S SWEETHEARTS: Dallas Cowboys Cheerleaders: Season 3" be the top global Netflix show this week?

No 98.9% 90.9 shares