No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.07
- Potential profit
- $74.07
- User PnL
- -$40
Polymarket Trader
nonsensepersona
0xf245a32d44191410974f518e9a39a7e3113d42b2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $50.87
- Realized PnL
- $75.91
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $64.1
- Potential profit
- $64.1
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.7
- Potential profit
- $59.7
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $50.87
- Potential payout
- $58.14
- Potential profit
- $7.27
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.87
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.34
Yes position
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.6
Natus Vincere position
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.05
Yes position
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.02
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.47
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?No 96.3% 38.39 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 54% 74.07 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 67% 59.7 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 78% 64.1 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 87% 57.47 shares
- Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes 86% 58.14 shares
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StageNatus Vincere 86.9% 115 shares
- Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes 65% 34.35 shares
- Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?Yes 85% 117.6 shares
- Government shutdown on Saturday?No 81.7% 122.34 shares