Fred1204w

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $375
Potential profit: $375
User PnL: -$15

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.2%
Current value: $12.3
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $137.7
Multiplier: 12.20x
User PnL: -$13.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 3?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.46
Potential profit: $121.46
User PnL: -$60

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.06
Potential profit: $77.06
User PnL: -$7.61

Warriors position

Timberwolves vs. Warriors

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 3?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.02
Potential profit: $66.02
User PnL: -$39.61

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.79
Potential profit: $63.79
User PnL: -$37

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $50.1
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $9.9
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 6?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.62
Potential profit: $59.62
User PnL: -$14.25

Jazz position

Jazz vs. Trail Blazers

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $46.98
Potential payout: $54.95
Potential profit: $7.97
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.78
Potential profit: $48.78
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $24.2
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $15.8
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.95
Potential profit: $34.95
User PnL: -$6.64

Omega position

Counter-Strike: Acend vs Omega (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stage

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $27.03
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Vance say "Gasoline" during his Rocky Mount visit?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.15
Potential profit: $25.15
User PnL: -$10

Legacy position

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.18
Potential profit: $24.18
User PnL: -$13.78

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $20.39
Potential payout: $23.99
Potential profit: $3.6
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $1.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.93
Potential profit: $20.93
User PnL: -$9.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 3?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.53
Potential profit: $19.53
User PnL: -$10

1WIN position

Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs WHITEBIRD (BO3) - IZI WEX Playoffs

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.62
Potential profit: $17.62
User PnL: -$9.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.42
Potential profit: $17.42
User PnL: -$5.92

T1 position

Valorant: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stage

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.4
Potential profit: $13.4
User PnL: -$2.68

Yes position

Will Vance say "Epic Fury" during his Rocky Mount visit?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.25
Potential profit: $13.25
User PnL: -$2.18

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.91

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 3?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.43

Pelicans position

Pelicans vs. Rockets

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 3?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.68

Yes position

Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.65

Yes position

Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-03-13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14

Hornets position

Hornets vs. Celtics

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.98

No position

GPT-5.4 released by March 5?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.83

Jazz position

Jazz vs. Wizards

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.12

Wild position

Lightning vs. Wild

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.95

Nuggets position

Lakers vs. Nuggets

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 33°C or below on March 4?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.18

Lakers position

Pelicans vs. Lakers

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.36

Dems position

Dems or GOP larger turnout in Texas Senate Primary?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.72

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.69

FUT Esports position

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.63

Yes position

Will Vance say "Nuclear" during his Rocky Mount visit?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.25

Yes position

Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.2

Avalanche position

Avalanche vs. Ducks

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.16

Team Spirit position

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.11

Stars position

Stars vs. Flames

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.98

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.88

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4?