Yes position
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.62
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $1.24K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.08
Polymarket Trader
AIB
0xf258aeac542174ded6cbd78426fcc7dbf902e4b0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.32K
- Realized PnL
- $3.05K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $587.7
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $12.3
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $35.7
No position
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $478.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $21.75
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $105.65
No position
Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $338.83
- Potential payout
- $340.53
- Potential profit
- $1.7
- User PnL
- $17.54
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$60
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $178.16
- Potential payout
- $185
- Potential profit
- $6.84
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $19.06
No position
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $173.59
- Potential payout
- $174.99
- Potential profit
- $1.4
- User PnL
- $19.1
No position
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $148.8
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $1.2
- User PnL
- $55.8
Yes position
Will no company have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $130
- User PnL
- -$10.27
No position
Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $127.04
- Potential payout
- $127.61
- Potential profit
- $0.57
- User PnL
- $10.91
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Current value
- $87.52
- Potential payout
- $94.36
- Potential profit
- $6.84
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.19
Yes position
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $89.87
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$6.17
No position
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $60.6
- Potential payout
- $61
- Potential profit
- $0.4
- User PnL
- $5.48
No position
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52
- Potential profit
- $52
- User PnL
- -$42.12
Yes position
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $1.07
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $48.93
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$23.93
No position
Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $46.08
- Potential payout
- $46.38
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- User PnL
- $3.13
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $34.2
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $5.8
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $26.2
No position
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $36.39
- Potential payout
- $36.63
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- User PnL
- $1.96
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $14.53
- Potential payout
- $14.83
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $7.77
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $6.23
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.91
Yes position
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $674.01
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $547.15
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $357.68
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $273.41
80k position
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $247.3
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $228.2
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151.9
No position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.84
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.1
No position
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.83
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.7
No position
Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.05
No position
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.85
No position
Will Meta have a #1 AI model this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.81
No position
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1600 on LMArena by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.97
No position
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.79
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.73
No position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.93
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.6
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.87
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2
No position
Will January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.19
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No 95.6% 14.83 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?No 89% 15 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 91.5% 94.36 shares
- Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by June 30?No 94% 128.5 shares
- Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by June 30?No 95% 39.68 shares
- Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30?No 94% 36.63 shares
- Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by June 30?No 91% 7.61 shares
- Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by June 30?No 91% 60 shares
- Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?No 90.4% 36 shares
- Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?No 90.3% 25 shares
- Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by June 30?No 92.6% 46.38 shares
- Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by June 30?No 95% 79.35 shares