Yes position
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $204.32
- Potential payout
- $771
- Potential profit
- $566.69
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$366.22
Polymarket Trader
ChristopherCain2309
0xf25dce0b43a13fe927b933282961da7f43b68b1e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $245.79
- Realized PnL
- $1.51K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $254
- Potential profit
- $254
- User PnL
- -$40.64
No position
Will FrankResearcher win the competition?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $97
- Potential profit
- $97
- User PnL
- -$21.34
No position
Will Russia capture Yampil' by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$47.12
Yes position
Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 49.6%
- Current value
- $38.15
- Potential payout
- $77
- Potential profit
- $38.85
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$24.5
No position
Ukraine strike in Russia on 26 November 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$46.2
Yes position
Will 120 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in December?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $51
- User PnL
- -$2.04
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "Hanukkah" or "Chanukah" during Israel President events on December 29?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$13.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$5.2
No position
Will Rose Byrne be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$4.08
No position
Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29
- Potential profit
- $29
- User PnL
- -$5.61
Yes position
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #2 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $12
- User PnL
- -$2.28
No position
Will Israel strike 2 countries in November 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.55
- Potential profit
- $10.55
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Will Blue Prince win Most Innovative Gameplay in the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1.45
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $2.38
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $4.62
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- -$1.47
No position
Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$0.88
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$0.92
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $3.95
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.03
Yes position
Will Ciprian Ciucu get between 25% and 30% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $3
- User PnL
- -$1.23
Yes position
Will Solstice launch a token by March 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $3
- User PnL
- -$2.85
Yes position
Will the Sacramento Kings win more than 32.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $3
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Yes position
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $1.91
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- -$0.71
No position
Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $1
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.9%
- Current value
- $0.8
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $0.78
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.28
No position
Will Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.23
Yes position
Will Trae Young be traded this season?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.71
No position
Will $DJT's market cap be between 4b and 4.25b
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.58
No position
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.36
No position
Will Daylight launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $79.4
No position
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $71.86
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 7, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.1
Yes position
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.87
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish with the best record in the NBA?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.95
No position
Will the New England Patriots be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.77
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $45.89
Yes position
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $40.41
Yes position
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.26
No position
Over $200M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 61%
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- $36.02
No position
Will Blue Prince win Most Innovative Gameplay in the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.82
Yes position
Will the Denver Broncos be eliminated in the Divisional Round?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $35.6
No position
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
Ends Jan 3, 2027- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $34.4
Down position
Solana Up or Down - December 5, 4PM ET
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.5
Yes position
Will Let God Sort Em Out (Clipse Pusha T Malice) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.24
No position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $29.89
Yes position
Will ETHGAS launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.35
No position
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $28.06
No position
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.69
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes 31% 15 shares
- Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No 81% 26 shares
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No 57% 630 shares
- Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes 24% 92 shares
- Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?No 96.2% 16 shares
- Ramp IPO before 2027?No 78% 17 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No 65% 39 shares
- Will Emma Stone be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No 10% 107.54 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026?No 88% 10 shares
- Will the New England Patriots be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?No 81% 283 shares
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No 56% 630 shares
- Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be at least 200k?No 93% 50 shares