No position
Trump kiss by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
0xf260...5419
0xf26086a593cbe8ab4bf68df2323596f928f05419
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $374.22
- Realized PnL
- $9.25
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $374.22
- Potential payout
- $880.52
- Potential profit
- $506.3
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$198.12
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $130
- User PnL
- -$1.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11AM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $130
- User PnL
- -$8.2
Yes position
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $97.91
- Potential profit
- $97.91
- User PnL
- -$1.51
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce Matt Gaetz as the next United States Attorney General by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.54
- Potential profit
- $37.54
- User PnL
- -$0.34
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 22?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 22?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.61
- Potential profit
- $19.61
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$0.59
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- $2.9
Yes position
Felix Protocol FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $1.73
Yes position
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 8.3%
- Multiplier
- 12.12x
- User PnL
- $1.29
Yes position
Hyperbeat FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- $1.15
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Multiplier
- 24.39x
- User PnL
- $1.01
Yes position
Reya FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $0.84
Yes position
StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- $0.71
Yes position
Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 10.1%
- Multiplier
- 9.90x
- User PnL
- $0.48
Yes position
Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 65% 68.52 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 65% 700 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 65% 30 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 65% 82 shares
- Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch?Yes 4.8% 17.9 shares
- Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?Yes 2.6% 0.22 shares
- Hyperbeat FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes 2.1% 30 shares
- Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by December 31?Yes 6% 5 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes 0.8% 130 shares
- Trump kiss by May 31?No 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 5.6% 30 shares
- Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?Yes 2.1% 47.91 shares