Yes position
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $144.95
- Potential payout
- $10.35K
- Potential profit
- $10.21K
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- -$242.34
Polymarket Trader
0xf27de6607Cbd11071
0xf27de6607cbd15be1133619b9807ff63fb86e6d3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11.71K
- Realized PnL
- $22.14K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $119.48
- Potential payout
- $8.24K
- Potential profit
- $8.12K
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$60.01
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $1.03K
- Potential payout
- $7.59K
- Potential profit
- $6.57K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.24K
Yes position
Will Steve Marshall be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.52K
- Potential profit
- $7.52K
- User PnL
- -$292.62
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $499.62
- Potential payout
- $7.14K
- Potential profit
- $6.64K
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$645.58
Yes position
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $149.8
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $6.85K
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- $51.8
Yes position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $47.33
- Potential payout
- $6.76K
- Potential profit
- $6.71K
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$99.49
Yes position
Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $124.92
- Potential payout
- $6.75K
- Potential profit
- $6.63K
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- $8.3
Yes position
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $89.72
- Potential payout
- $6.41K
- Potential profit
- $6.32K
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- -$1.62
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $690
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $5.31K
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$90
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $995.25
- Potential payout
- $5.38K
- Potential profit
- $4.38K
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $17.52
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.4%
- Current value
- $1.29K
- Potential payout
- $5.3K
- Potential profit
- $4.01K
- Multiplier
- 4.11x
- User PnL
- -$139.61
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $1.04K
- Potential payout
- $5.09K
- Potential profit
- $4.04K
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$1.32K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $1.49K
- Potential payout
- $5.04K
- Potential profit
- $3.55K
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$99.73
Yes position
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $17.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.98K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$77.36
Yes position
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $22.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.98K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$31.92
No position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $1.04K
- Potential payout
- $4.82K
- Potential profit
- $3.78K
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$62.07
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $428.01
- Potential payout
- $4.76K
- Potential profit
- $4.33K
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$26.53
No position
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $370.06
- Potential payout
- $3.9K
- Potential profit
- $3.53K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$14.93
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $1.38K
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.12K
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $2.86
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $365.38
- Potential payout
- $3.04K
- Potential profit
- $2.68K
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$37.43
Yes position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $375.6
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.63K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$631.67
Yes position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $12
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.99K
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$118.99
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.62K
- Potential profit
- $2.62K
- User PnL
- -$276.48
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.34K
Yes position
Maduro out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44K
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $1.89K
Yes position
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.3K
Yes position
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25K
No position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $907.07
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $852.44
Yes position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $835.03
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $779.97
No position
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $687.59
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $678.42
No position
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.2%
- Multiplier
- 2.84x
- User PnL
- $653.86
No position
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $616.3
Yes position
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $613.06
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- $608.94
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $583.9
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $572.43
Yes position
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $567.33
No position
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $529.89
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $529.69
Yes position
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.97x
- User PnL
- $502.3
No position
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $472.96
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $464.51
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $463.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 1% 500 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 0.9% 444.5 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 0.7% 388.02 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 1% 615.89 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No 58% 5 shares
- Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 1.7% 111.88 shares
- Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 2% 133.5 shares
- Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No 21% 430.91 shares
- Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No 20.9% 540.18 shares
- Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?No 9% 45 shares
- Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?No 9% 18.45 shares
- Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 1% 77.5 shares