Over position
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.65K
- Potential profit
- $1.65K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Polymarket Trader
Mistveily
0xf281493dd4cf32ffbce4441f1b8756822dc8cbbb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $16.24
- Realized PnL
- $4.57
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $16.24
- Potential payout
- $19.1
- Potential profit
- $2.87
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.76
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $11
- User PnL
- -$10.57
Resolved Context
Closed positions
FlyQuest position
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.3
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.4%
- Multiplier
- 5.17x
- User PnL
- -$4.73
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 89% 19.1 shares
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5Over 61% 1,647.54 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.7% 788.61 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 12.3% 788.62 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 80% 125 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 84% 125 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No 96.1% 11 shares
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier PlayoffsFlyQuest 35% 22 shares