No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.6%
- Current value
- $56.59
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $43.41
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$35.31
Polymarket Trader
alex7696
0xf28535f37c3d9b5140b41185e1986853b40d445c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $66.88
- Realized PnL
- $114.3
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Azerbaijan come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $82
- Potential profit
- $82
- User PnL
- -$2.21
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $73
- Potential profit
- $73
- User PnL
- -$2.77
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $70
- User PnL
- -$1.54
No position
Will Bernie say "Billionaire" 3+ times in Maine?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61
- Potential profit
- $61
- User PnL
- -$1.93
No position
Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47
- Potential profit
- $47
- User PnL
- -$43.9
Yes position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.31
- Potential payout
- $39
- Potential profit
- $38.69
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.63
- Potential profit
- $13.63
- User PnL
- -$0.56
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $9.98
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.58
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.14
No position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.39
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.44
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.86
Yes position
Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.93
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09
No position
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.07
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45
No position
Military action against Iran ends on March 29, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
Yes position
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will the U.K. join the Board of Peace?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $0.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 9.1% 39 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 3?Yes 2.2% 31 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on June 3?Yes 4.1% 22 shares
- Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?No 3.9% 52 shares
- Will Bernie say "Billionaire" 3+ times in Maine?No 3.2% 41 shares
- Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?No 4.6% 74 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Yes 3.8% 73 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?No 97.2% 17 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 15?No 97.4% 88 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 15?No 96.9% 88 shares
- Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?No 98.1% 88 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Yes 2.9% 79 shares